Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.16	5.00
	1.15	5.06
	1.19	5.49
	1.18	4.89	Watch
	1.16	5.25
	1.17	5.32	Watch
	1.16	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↑ (1.16)	5.13 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 36.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
81.4%

Alejandro Tabilo
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 28.

Zverev is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tabilo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Zverev is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.16 are the expected chance of winning is 81.7%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Alexander Zverev - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP US Open
03.09.26	Alexei Popyrin - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
26.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0
ATP Roma
17.05.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Zverev	1:2

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