Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Final

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max
Usa	FuboTV


	Alexander Zverev		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	1.67	2.3	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.68	2.13
	1.69	2.36
	1.69	2.38	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.59	2.38	Watch
	1.7	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)	2.27 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
57.6%

Ben Shelton
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Zverev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ben Shelton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Shelton will win (votes: 10 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shelton (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

#ad

Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Shelton is ranked ATP: 9.

Both players have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Zverev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Zverev will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Botic Van De Zandschulp	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW
- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
11.09.26	Francis Tiafoe - Ben Shelton	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Ben Shelton - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Ben Shelton - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Ben Shelton - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
09.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.25	Ben Shelton - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Stuttgart
14.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Munich
20.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:1

Upcoming Matches