Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	01:45	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:45	HBO Max
Bulgaria	02:45	HBO Max
Croatia	01:45	HBO Max
Czech Republic	01:45	HBO Max
Denmark	01:45	HBO Max
Finland	02:45	HBO Max
France	01:45	HBO Max
Hungary	01:45	HBO Max
Moldova	02:45	HBO Max
Montenegro	01:45	HBO Max
Netherlands	01:45	HBO Max
North Macedonia	01:45	HBO Max
Norway	01:45	HBO Max
Poland	01:45	HBO Max
Romania	02:45	HBO Max
Serbia	01:45	HBO Max
Slovenia	01:45	HBO Max
Spain	01:45	HBO Max
Sweden	01:45	HBO Max


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.18
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.71	2.24
	1.86	1.95	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.7	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
56.1%

Jacob Fearnley
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Fearnley will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 4 - 40%). Fearnley (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Sets - Bautista-Agut (3.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bautista-Agut (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Fearnley (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 47. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 59.

Bautista-Agut has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fearnley's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Christopher OConnell	O'Connell C. retired ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 L?LWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	James McCabe - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
12.08.25	Jacob Fearnley - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Zizou Bergs - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Jacob Fearnley - Juan Pablo Ficovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?WLL

Roberto Bautista-Agut - Jacob Fearnley

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Roberto Bautista Agut - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Preview

Form

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