Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Ben Shelton		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.37	1.66
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
42%

Alexander Zverev
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Ben Shelton - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 10 - 28.6%). Zverev will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Zverev (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 4 - 20%). Zverev (votes: 16 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 6. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Shelton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zverev's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shelton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zverev could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.25	Ben Shelton - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Ben Shelton - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Ben Shelton - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Ugo Carabelli C. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
07.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
06.08.25	Ben Shelton - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WW?WW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Alexander Zverev	Khachanov K. retired ✺
13.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
06.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
14.06.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Munich
20.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:1

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