Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Alexander Zverev		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.85
	1.33	3.58
	1.15	5.57	Watch
	1.3	3.7	Watch
	1.27	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.16)	4.02 ↓ (5.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
76.1%

Valentin Royer
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Zverev's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Alexander Zverev - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zverev will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Royer will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 6 - 60%). Royer (votes: 4 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Royer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Royer (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 3. Royer is ranked ATP: 76.

Recent performances by Zverev have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Royer is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zverev is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Beijing
29.09.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Valentin Royer - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
30.09.25	Valentin Royer - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Valentin Royer - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.25	Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWW?L

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