Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday


	Valentin Royer		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.34	3.25	Watch
	1.44	2.96
	1.42	2.72	Watch
	1.35	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	3.07 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
69%

Mariano Navone
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Valentin Royer - Mariano Navone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Royer (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Valentin Royer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 76. Navone is ranked ATP: 82.

Royer is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Navone is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Navone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Royer is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.92%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Valentin Royer - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Valentin Royer - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.09.25	Valentin Royer - Borna Gojo	Canceled ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.25	Valentin Royer - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Valentin Royer - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WW?LW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Tokyo
22.09.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.25	Mariano Navone - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Valentin Royer - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide