Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Tiago Torres		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	2.9	1.37	Watch
	3.03	1.46
	2.92	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.45
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.23)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiago Torres
31.9%

Hugo Gaston
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

76.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiago Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiago Torres that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Tiago Torres - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Torres will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gaston will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Torres (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gaston (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Gaston (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Torres (votes: 1 - 25%). Gaston (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Torres is ranked ATP: 427. Gaston is ranked ATP: 109.

Torres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Gaston has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gaston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaston is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiago Torres
ATP Estoril
22.07.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Tiago Torres - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.26	Patrick Schoen - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Tiago Torres	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWLWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Estoril
22.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 W?LLW

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