Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Aix en Provence, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday


	Alexei Popyrin		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.38
	1.58	2.34	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	2.39 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
60.8%

Stanislas Wawrinka
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexei Popyrin will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexei Popyrin will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 26. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 158.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Wawrinka could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Popyrin will have a poor advantage in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexei Popyrin	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWWW
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alexei Popyrin	0:2
ATP Umag
30.07.23	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1

Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide