Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Alexei Popyrin

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
43%

Alexei Popyrin
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Popyrin will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 7 - 50%). Popyrin (votes: 7 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Tiafoe (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games - Popyrin (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 8 - 50%). Popyrin (votes: 8 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Popyrin is ranked ATP: 27.

Tiafoe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Popyrin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tiafoe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Houston
06.04.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Adam Walton - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Marcos Giron - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Zizou Bergs - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Alexei Popyrin - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
01.09.24	Francis Tiafoe - Alexei Popyrin	3:1

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