Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Alexei Popyrin		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.4
	2.57	1.47	Watch
			Watch
	3.08	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.57)	1.41 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
32.6%

Alexander Bublik
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Popyrin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bublik will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 4 - 50%). Bublik (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Popyrin (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Popyrin (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bublik (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 48. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.

Bublik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Popyrin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bublik is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Popyrin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Vienna
22.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
13.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Emil Ruusuvuori	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2
ATP Doha
22.02.24	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	2:0
ATP Singapore
28.02.21	Alexander Bublik - Alexei Popyrin	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.07.18	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	2:1

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