Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sharm ElSheikh 3, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Alibek Kachmazov		Marek Gengel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2
	1.88	1.93
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.78	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alibek Kachmazov
51.7%

Marek Gengel
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alibek Kachmazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alibek Kachmazov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alibek Kachmazov - Marek Gengel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 494. Gengel is ranked ATP: 364.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alibek Kachmazov - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Marek Gengel - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alibek Kachmazov
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Faris Zakaryia	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Semen Pankin	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Cedric Stanke	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Alibek Kachmazov - Maximilian Neuchrist	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL
- Marek Gengel
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Vadym Ursu - Marek Gengel	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Alessandro Pecci - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Andriy Poritskyy - Marek Gengel	Poritskyi A. Retired ✺
16.04.26	Marek Gengel - Anton Arzhankin	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Marek Gengel - Michal Krajci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WW?LW

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