Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Omar Jasika		Martin Borisiouk

	1	2
			Watch
	1.90	1.80
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.90	1.89
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.7)	1.9 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omar Jasika
50.9%

Martin Borisiouk
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Martin Borisiouk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Borisiouk than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martin Borisiouk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Omar Jasika - Martin Borisiouk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jasika will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Borisiouk will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jasika is ranked ATP: 422., and Borisiouk is ranked ATP: 869..

In recent outings, Jasika has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Borisiouk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Borisiouk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Omar Jasika - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Omar Jasika - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Omar Jasika - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Omar Jasika - Chase Ferguson	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
22.09.26	Alex Bolt - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika	Jasika O. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWL?
- Martin Borisiouk
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Kristjan Tamm - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Jumpei Yamasaki - Martin Borisiouk	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Dominik Palan - Martin Borisiouk	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Martin Borisiouk - Dong Ju Kim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW

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