Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2


	Andrea Pellegrino		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.95	1.7	Watch
	1.95	1.91
	1.91	1.87	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
48.2%

Aleksandar Vukic
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Andrea Pellegrino - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Vukic will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pellegrino: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 2 - 40%). Vukic (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Vukic is ranked ATP: 83.

Pellegrino is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vukic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Aleksandar Vukic - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWWWW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Marcos Giron - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
12.04.25	Billy Harris - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL

Andrea Pellegrino - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide