Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.42	Watch
	2.67	1.51
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.34)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
33.8%

Nicolas Jarry
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Pellegrino's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 237. Jarry is ranked ATP: 57.

Pellegrino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jarry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jarry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jarry could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Andrea Pellegrino - Nicolas Jarry: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide