Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Filip Cristian Jianu

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	3.06
	1.38	2.82	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	2.74 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
65.9%

Filip Cristian Jianu
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Pellegrino's performance.

Filip Cristian Jianu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Cristian Jianu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Pellegrino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Cristian Jianu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Cristian Jianu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pellegrino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 128. Jianu is ranked ATP: 243.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pellegrino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
20.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francisco Comesana - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW
- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Eero Vasa - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Ryan Nijboer - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Filip Cristian Jianu - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Andrej Martin - Filip Cristian Jianu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Cristian Jianu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide