Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Matej Dodig		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.19
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.52)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
58.4%

Andrea Pellegrino
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Matej Dodig - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 171., and Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 145..

Dodig is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pellegrino has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.62%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Daniel Altmaier - Matej Dodig	Canceled ✺
19.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Matej Dodig - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hugo Dellien - Matej Dodig	Dellien H. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 ?LLW?
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Colton Smith - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLW

Upcoming Matches