Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Valerio Aboian		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
	6.00	1.13	Watch
	5.00	1.13	Watch
	5.89	1.15
	4.98	1.14	Watch
	5.40	1.14
	5.00	1.13	Watch
	5.00	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (3.72)	1.14 ↓ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
17.6%

Andrea Pellegrino
82.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valerio Aboian's form might have worsened.

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Pellegrino's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Valerio Aboian - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 431. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 129.

Aboian is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pellegrino has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aboian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pellegrino is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aboian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
07.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Valerio Aboian - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Mika Petkovic - Andrea Pellegrino	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Colton Smith - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Zizou Bergs - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Valerio Aboian	2:0

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