Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lautaro Midon		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.7	1.4
	2.72	1.5
	2.62	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.44
	2.68	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.63)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
35.1%

Roberto Carballes Baena
64.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lautaro Midon - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 216. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 199.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carballes Baena might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Lautaro Midon - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Christian Garin - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
14.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
11.04.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LW?LW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Alex Molcan	Carballes Baena R. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Jonas Forejtek - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Felipe Virgili Berini - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 L?LLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	✺

Lautaro Midon - Roberto Carballes Baena