Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Alexander Shevchenko		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.61	2.19
	1.7	2.21
	1.68	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.45	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)	2.25 ↓ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Shevchenko
58.2%

Andrea Pellegrino
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Shevchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexander Shevchenko's form might have worsened.

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrea Pellegrino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Shevchenko than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexander Shevchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Pellegrino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alexander Shevchenko - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shevchenko will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shevchenko: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shevchenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shevchenko is ranked ATP: 76. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 130.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shevchenko might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Bucharest
01.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Radu David Turcanu	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Ben Shelton - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLWW
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Justin Engel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?LWLW

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