Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cali 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andres Andrade		Facundo Diaz Acosta

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Andres Andrade
27.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
72.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Andrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Andrade is ranked ATP: 354. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 265.

Andrade is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Diaz Acosta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Diaz Acosta is a strong favorite.

We predict that Diaz Acosta will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Andrade
ITF Tournaments
05.10.25	Andres Andrade - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Andres Andrade - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
03.10.25	Andres Andrade - Natan Rodrigues	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Andres Andrade - Jose Pereira	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Andres Andrade - Gabriel Schenekenberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
02.10.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Andres Andrade - Facundo Diaz Acosta