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Current Win Probability
Leylah Annie Fernandez 43.6%
Ekaterina Alexandrova 56.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.5%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leylah Annie Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leylah Annie Fernandez's form might have worsened.
Ekaterina Alexandrova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ekaterina Alexandrova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leylah Annie Fernandez than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leylah Annie Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ekaterina Alexandrova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Fernandez is ranked WTA: 30., and Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 33..
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fernandez won 2.
Fernandez is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Alexandrova has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fernandez could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fernandez has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1:1.2 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Leylah Annie Fernandez - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.47%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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