Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ningbo 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.30	1.60
	2.18	1.68
	2.26	1.61	Watch
	2.50	1.57
	2.29	1.64	Watch
	2.26	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
41%

Marta Kostyuk
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alexandrova will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alexandrova: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kostyuk (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Kostyuk (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 2 - 50%). Kostyuk (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 33., and Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 10..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Alexandrova may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Alexandrova has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Marta Kostyuk - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.44%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Ningbo
20.10.26	Hanyu Guo - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
11.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Leylah Annie Fernandez	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
08.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
06.10.26	Linda Noskova - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLLWW
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Wuhan
13.10.26	Maria Sakkari - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
17.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Taylor Townsend	Kostyuk M. win ✺
WTA US Open
06.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
04.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0
WTA Portoroz
12.09.22	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Marta Kostyuk	2:1
WTA Roma
10.05.21	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Marta Kostyuk