Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Anna Kalinskaya		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.78	Watch
	2.12	1.82
	2.07	1.79	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.07	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.91)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna Kalinskaya
46.7%

Jelena Ostapenko
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna Kalinskaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalinskaya is ranked WTA: 24. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 36.

Kalinskaya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ostapenko is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kalinskaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Ostapenko will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kalinskaya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Anna Kalinskaya - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Belinda Bencic - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Katerina Siniakova - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Dalma Galfi - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Iva Jovic - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Paula Badosa - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Roma
09.05.26	Qinwen Zheng - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Amanda Anisimova	Canceled ✺
06.05.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Simona Waltert - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2
WTA Miami
23.03.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2
WTA Adelaide 2
09.01.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2

Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide