Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pau 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Bouquier		Luca Nardi

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Arthur Bouquier
28.2%

Luca Nardi
71.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.8%

72.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Bouquier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Bouquier is ranked ATP: 402. Nardi is ranked ATP: 97.

Nardi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bouquier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nardi is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Bouquier
ATP Challenger
10.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.12.25	Arthur Bouquier - Alaa Trifi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Arthur Bouquier - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
09.02.26	Jerome Kym - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
06.02.26	Martin Damm - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL

Arthur Bouquier - Luca Nardi