Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Martin Damm		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.85	2.06
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.76	2.06	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	2.02 ↓ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
53.2%

Luca Nardi
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Martin Damm - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Nardi will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 42% – 87.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Nardi (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Damm (2.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games - Damm (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Nardi (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 160. Nardi is ranked ATP: 106.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Martin Damm - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
02.02.26	Clement Tabur - Martin Damm	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Martin Damm - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Montpellier
05.02.26	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
04.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Martin Damm - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide