Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.66
	2.24	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.23	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.46)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
41.9%

Luca Nardi
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.3%	0%	97.7%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Nardi (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Nardi (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (41 of 42 users predict this - 97.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Nardi will win (36 of 41 users predict this - 87.8%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Nardi (votes: 38 - 88.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 105. Nardi is ranked ATP: 108.

Nardi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nardi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Nardi will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 38.12%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
02.01.26	Christopher OConnell - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
16.10.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLL?
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWWW

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide