Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Roberto Bautista-Agut		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.96	1.95
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.57)	1.87 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roberto Bautista-Agut
50.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Roberto Bautista Agut - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 98. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 136.

Bautista-Agut has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Martinez Portero has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bautista-Agut could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bautista-Agut won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Brandon Nakashima - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
04.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0
ATP Kitzbuhel
28.07.21	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:1

Upcoming Matches