Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Jesper De Jong

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.47
	2.61	1.55
	2.51	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.52)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
37.8%

Jesper De Jong
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Jesper De Jong Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 133. De Jong is ranked ATP: 109.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Daniel Vallejo - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Carreno-Busta P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLW?
- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Stefano Travaglia - Jesper De Jong	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Jesper De Jong - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2

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