Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Arthur Fery		Toby Samuel

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.66	2.23
	1.81	2.13
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.68	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	2.16 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fery
55.8%

Toby Samuel
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fery's performance.

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toby Samuel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fery that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toby Samuel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fery will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Samuel will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fery is ranked ATP: 141. Samuel is ranked ATP: 150.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Samuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fery won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Arthur Fery - Bu Yunchaokete	1:2 ✺
05.06.26	Arthur Fery - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Alex Bolt - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Arthur Fery	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Arthur Fery - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Dane Sweeny - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Toby Samuel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Toby Samuel	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Toby Samuel - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0

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