Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Arthur Fils		Ben Shelton

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.72
	2.23	1.72	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.5)	1.68 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
43.1%

Ben Shelton
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Shelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45%	0%	55%

Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Shelton will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 24. Shelton is ranked ATP: 17.

Fils is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shelton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shelton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Tokyo
27.09.24	Arthur Fils - Matteo Berrettini	Berrettini M. retired ✺
26.09.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	Arthur Fils - Gabriel Diallo	1:3 ✺
27.08.24	Arthur Fils - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 ?WWLW
- Ben Shelton
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Reilly Opelka - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
22.09.24	Daniil Medvedev - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.24	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Laver Cup
22.09.23	Arthur Fils - Ben Shelton	0:2

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