Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bordeaux (France), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Referee: Joseph E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Arthur Fils		Thanasi Kokkinakis

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.44
	1.61	2.44
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.49	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)	2.34 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
59.9%

Thanasi Kokkinakis
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Fils's performance.

Thanasi Kokkinakis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thanasi Kokkinakis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Fils that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thanasi Kokkinakis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Arthur Fils - Thanasi Kokkinakis Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Kokkinakis will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kokkinakis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fils will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Arthur Fils - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Arthur Fils - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.24	Arthur Fils - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
18.04.24	Alex De Minaur - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLW
- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Matteo Martineau - Thanasi Kokkinakis	0:2 ✺
14.05.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
06.05.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
23.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

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