Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Gabas A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Match 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.61	1.54
	2.61	1.55
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.23)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
37.8%

Jack Draper
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thanasi Kokkinakis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Draper, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Kokkinakis will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Draper will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kokkinakis: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kokkinakis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Draper is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kokkinakis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draper will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kokkinakis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
17.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Zizou Bergs - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Jack Draper
ATP Munich
19.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Rudolf Molleker - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Vit Kopriva - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Nicolas Jarry - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Los Cabos
19.02.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jack Draper	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jack Draper	1:2

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Jack Draper: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide