Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)


	Thanasi Kokkinakis		Dominic Thiem

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.75
	1.47	2.75
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.41	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.82)	2.8 ↑ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thanasi Kokkinakis
66.3%

Dominic Thiem
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thanasi Kokkinakis's performance.

Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thanasi Kokkinakis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.1%	0%	18.9%

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Thiem Predictions

Users Predictions: Thanasi Kokkinakis will win (30 of 37 users predict this - 81.08%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.46% – 93.7%.

#ad

Preview

Kokkinakis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Thiem is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kokkinakis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kokkinakis will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thanasi Kokkinakis
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
17.04.24	Gregoire Barrere - Thanasi Kokkinakis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Zizou Bergs - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW
- Dominic Thiem
ATP Madrid
22.04.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dominic Thiem	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dominic Thiem - Arthur Cazaux	Canceled ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.24	Richard Gasquet - Dominic Thiem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLL?L

Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Thiem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide