Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	Arthur Gea		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.00	1.80	Watch
	1.98	1.80
	1.95	1.86	Watch
	2.03	1.82	Watch
	2.01	1.80
	2.00	1.85	Watch
	2.01	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	1.82 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Gea
47.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Arthur Gea - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gea is ranked ATP: 56., and Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Davidovich Fokina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Davidovich Fokina in today's match, at odds of 1.78.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Gea
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Arthur Gea - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Ben Shelton - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Arthur Gea - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Arthur Gea - Jaime Faria	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
02.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
29.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

Arthur Gea - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide