Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

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	Arthur Rinderknech		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	5	1.17	Watch
	5	1.16
	4.61	1.18	Watch
	5.66	1.18
	4.58	1.20	Watch
	4.5	1.2
	5.05	1.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.23)	1.18 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
19.4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arthur Rinderknech's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arthur Rinderknech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	0%	23.3%

Arthur Rinderknech - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Rinderknech will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Rinderknech (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Rinderknech will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rinderknech (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 82. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 18.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Rinderknech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Davidovich Fokina is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rinderknech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 69.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Roberto Carballes Baena - Arthur Rinderknech	1:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
17.08.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Rinderknech A. retired ✺
09.08.25	Casper Ruud - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WL?WW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
01.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 W??WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
11.03.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2

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