Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cincinnati 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Arthur Rinderknech		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.40	Watch
	1.57	2.64
	1.56	2.42	Watch
	1.54	2.55
	1.59	2.40	Watch
	1.55	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.46 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Rinderknech
61.1%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Arthur Rinderknech - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 28. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 51.

Rinderknech is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cerundolo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerundolo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rinderknech could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rinderknech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Rinderknech - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 62.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Francis Tiafoe - Arthur Rinderknech	Tiafoe F. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?WLL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.26	Mark Lajal - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Casper Ruud - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hamad Medjedovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
21.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
18.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	Rinderknech A. walkover
ATP Kitzbuhel
01.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2

Arthur Rinderknech - Juan Manuel Cerundolo