Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Raphael Collignon		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.67	2.20	Watch
	1.72	2.10
	1.68	2.17	Watch
	1.78	2.18
	1.73	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.68	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.61)	2.15 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 24.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
55.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	0%	86.7%

Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Collignon will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juan Manuel Cerundolo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 42. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 45.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Collignon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Collignon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Raphael Collignon - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 58.38%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.62%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
13.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Arthur Fils	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad
17.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
25.06.26	Toby Samuel - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Eastbourne
22.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Challenger
17.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Raphael Collignon	2:1
10.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Raphael Collignon	2:1

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