Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.35	3.49
	1.33	3.23	Watch
	1.32	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.53	Watch
	1.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.5)	3.4 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
72.2%

Marco Trungelliti
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Trungelliti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Trungelliti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 45. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 99.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerundolo is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.68%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Gstaad
18.07.26	Raphael Collignon - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Casper Ruud	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Marco Trungelliti - Martin Damm	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.26	Giles Hussey - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Felix Gill - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW

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