Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Aryna Sabalenka		Madison Keys

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.17	4.9	Watch
	1.17	4.75	Watch
	1.2	4.5
	1.18	4.99	Watch
	1.16	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.28)	4.82 ↑ (3.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
80.4%

Madison Keys
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryna Sabalenka's performance.

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madison Keys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Keys (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Keys is ranked WTA: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.

In this match, Sabalenka is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Aryna Sabalenka - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 73.02%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Brisbane
07.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
06.12.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
WTA Finals
08.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Madison Keys
WTA Brisbane
08.01.26	Diana Shnaider - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	McCartney Kessler - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
04.12.25	Venus Williams - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
WTA Finals
05.11.25	Elena Rybakina - Madison Keys	Canceled ✺
03.11.25	Amanda Anisimova - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
14.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA Australian Open
25.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Beijing
02.10.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0
WTA US Open
07.09.23	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
12.07.23	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Berlin
16.06.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	1:2
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.18	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide