Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Aryna Sabalenka		Qinwen Zheng

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.16	5.2	Watch
	1.15	6.55
	1.14	5.64	Watch
	1.17	5
	1.14	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.13)	5.74 ↓ (5.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
83.3%

Qinwen Zheng
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Qinwen Zheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Zheng will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5 Games - Zheng (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 2 - 50%). Zheng (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Zheng is ranked WTA: 26.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.

Sabalenka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zheng's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabalenka is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.8:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Caty McNally	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
15.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Linda Noskova	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Qinwen Zheng
WTA Miami
22.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Qinwen Zheng - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Antonia Ruzic - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
15.02.26	Peyton Stearns - Qinwen Zheng	Canceled ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Qinwen Zheng - Elena Rybakina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
03.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0
WTA Roma
14.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	0:2
WTA Miami
25.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0
WTA Finals
02.11.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:0
WTA Wuhan
13.10.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Qinwen Zheng	2:1
WTA US Open
03.09.24	Qinwen Zheng - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Australian Open
27.01.24	Qinwen Zheng - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

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