Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	August Holmgren		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.35	1.36
	3.07	1.32	Watch
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
29.6%

Bu Yunchaokete
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

August Holmgren - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 188. Yunchaokete is ranked ATP: 175.

In recent matches, Holmgren has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yunchaokete is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Yunchaokete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Yunchaokete is the team to beat.

We predict that Yunchaokete will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
18.04.26	August Holmgren - Liam Broady	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	August Holmgren - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kasidit Samrej - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
08.04.26	Pavel Kotov - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWW?L
- Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Leandro Riedi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Alex Bolt - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Adam Walton	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Yunseong Chung	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

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