Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Beibit Zhukayev

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
			Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.05
	1.37	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.4)	2.9 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
67.8%

Beibit Zhukayev
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 110. Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 305.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shimabukuro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Ilia Simakin	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Naoya Honda	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Uisung Park - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Alejandro Hayen - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.01.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1
31.08.22	Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide