Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Ben Shelton		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
			Watch
	1.22	3.75	Watch
	4.05	1.24	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	2.11	1.76	Watch
	2.05	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.45)	2.82 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
58.8%

Sebastian Baez
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ben Shelton's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. Baez is ranked ATP: 39.

Baez is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Baez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shelton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ben Shelton - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.63%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Ben Shelton - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
06.12.25	Nick Kyrgios - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ben Shelton - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Emilio Nava - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP United Cup
07.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Jaume Munar - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
10.01.23	Sebastian Baez - Ben Shelton	0:2

Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide