Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.81	1.49
	2.68	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.18)	1.46 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
34.7%

Hubert Hurkacz
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Bonzi's form might have worsened.

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hubert Hurkacz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Benjamin Bonzi - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 58.6% – 97%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Sets - Hurkacz (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hubert Hurkacz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 62. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 28.

Bonzi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bonzi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
13.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 ?LWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marseille
26.02.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
ATP Challenger
26.10.18	Hubert Hurkacz - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0

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