Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.33	Watch
	3.57	1.33
	3.17	1.35	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.31	1.34	Watch
	3.35	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.05)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
28%

Marin Cilic
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Benjamin Bonzi - Marin Cilic Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Bonzi (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bonzi (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marin Cilic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cilic (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 62. Cilic is ranked ATP: 109.

Bonzi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cilic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cilic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cilic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cilic to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bonzi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
05.04.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Challenger
13.04.25	Marin Cilic - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
01.07.21	Marin Cilic - Benjamin Bonzi	3:1

Benjamin Bonzi - Marin Cilic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide