Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.74	1.51
	2.61	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.67	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)	1.47 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
35%

Alex De Minaur
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Hubert Hurkacz - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). De Minaur will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 22. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 10.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

De Minaur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

De Minaur will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hurkacz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Marseille
13.02.25	Zhizhen Zhang - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
07.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Hubert Hurkacz	Lehecka J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLW?
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	David Goffin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
25.02.25	Marin Cilic - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
ATP Doha
20.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
19.02.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Roman Safiullin - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
07.05.19	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Atlanta
23.07.18	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1

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