Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.43	Watch
	1.56	2.58
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)	2.5 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
62%

Alex Michelsen
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Michelsen (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 Games, 1st Set - Musetti (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Musetti (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Michelsen (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Musetti might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
06.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Musetti L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLL??
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Alex Michelsen - Daniel Evans	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Alex Michelsen - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:3 ✺
ATP Mallorca
27.06.25	Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Alex Michelsen - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLW

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