Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Musetti		James Duckworth

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.2	4.4
	1.29	3.49	Watch
	1.32	3.74
	1.31	3.38	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.32	3.42	Watch
	1.13	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.1)	4.05 ↓ (7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
76.3%

James Duckworth
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James Duckworth's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	0%	78.3%

Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Duckworth will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Musetti (1.37) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Musetti (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Duckworth (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): James Duckworth will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Duckworth (votes: 19 - 90.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 10. Duckworth is ranked ATP: 106.

Recent performances by Musetti have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Duckworth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Duckworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Musetti is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Musetti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
06.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Musetti L. retired ✺
03.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LL??W
- James Duckworth
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Juncheng Shang - James Duckworth	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	James Duckworth - Justin Boulais	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Adam Walton - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	James Duckworth - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
03.11.21	Lorenzo Musetti - James Duckworth	1:2

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