Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.89	1.96
	1.96	1.8	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.85	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.87)	1.82 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
48.5%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Benjamin Bonzi - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 103. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 80.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bautista-Agut may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Roberto Bautista-Agut - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Zizou Bergs	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLW?
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Titouan Droguet	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	James Duckworth - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - David Goffin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
05.11.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2

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