Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday


	Maximus Jones		Fajing Sun

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maximus Jones
41.1%

Fajing Sun
58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Maximus Jones have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Fajing Sun have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maximus Jones than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Maximus Jones - Fajing Sun Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sun will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 317. Sun is ranked ATP: 264.

Jones has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sun is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sun could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Sun will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jones won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maximus Jones
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Maximus Jones - Yasutaka Uchiyama	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Petr Nesterov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Maximus Jones - Tom Gentzsch	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Maximus Jones - Marko Mesarovic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Maximus Jones - Yannik Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL??W
- Fajing Sun
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Fajing Sun - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Fajing Sun - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
23.03.26	Kaichi Uchida - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Fajing Sun - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fajing Sun - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.10.22	Fajing Sun - Maximus Jones	2:0

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